Nate Silver, the popular and widely read author of the popular sports prediction website FiveThirtyEight, said on Twitter that his predictions were not “a great predictor of anything,” because he did not predict the outcome of the election.
In an interview with Business Insider, Silver said he would be “a lot happier” if he could predict which candidate would win, but that he didn’t have the ability to.
“I’m not really good at that,” Silver said.
“So I have to say, ‘No, I’m not good at it, I just don’t know what I’m doing.’
And I think that’s the biggest thing.
You have to do it as if it’s an expert.
I mean, I have a really good sense of who I’m talking about, but I’m still trying to figure it out.”
Silver said that his prediction of Trump losing the election was “pretty accurate” in the first four weeks of the race.
He said that it was “a little wrong” in early September, and that he could “not tell the difference” between Trump and Clinton in a November election.
“The only thing I can tell you is that I was wrong,” Silver told Business Insider.
“You can always make a mistake, but it doesn’t matter what you do.”
Silver did say that he would probably vote for Trump in November, if only because he believed that he had a better chance of winning.
“If you’re not really sure who the winner is, if you’re just assuming you’re right, that’s a pretty good bet,” he said.
In addition to predicting the election outcome, Silver also has been predicting the results of a variety of other political and social events, including the results from the 2016 Olympics, the 2016 Presidential debates, the presidential race, and the election of the Supreme Court justices.
“We can always see what’s going to happen and what’s not going to go our way,” he told Business Insiders.
“That’s just a little bit of a game, but we’re all human.
We all make mistakes.
That’s just part of life.”
In October, Silver predicted that President Donald Trump would be elected by a large margin, with the electoral college voting for the president in a landslide.
However, Trump lost the popular vote by more than 2.5 million votes.
“There’s a lot of things we don’t really understand yet,” Silver explained to Business Insider in September.
“For instance, it’s true that the electoral vote was really close.
It was a close election.
But it’s really not like the election is over.
It’s a long and bitter campaign.
And we don.t really know the winner.”
On October 1, Silver tweeted that the popular votes had been tallied and that “the winner is still Trump.”
FiveThirtyeight did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the accuracy of his predictions, and did not offer a correction on Twitter.
“When Nate Silver’s predictions aren’t accurate, they’re wrong, and he’s wrong on a lot,” said Bill Kovach, co-founder of FiveThirty8.
“But he’s still an extremely valuable part of the analysis community.”
Silver’s prediction of the outcome was also not particularly accurate, Business Insider reported, citing a recent analysis of polling data.
The analysis found that Silver’s results were not the most accurate of all forecasts, with his predictions predicting that Clinton would lose the popular election by more to 2.7 million votes and Trump would win the electoral votes by 1.3 million votes, which would have given him the presidency.
“A lot of people think Nate Silver is very accurate and a lot more people think he’s really wrong, but there are other factors,” Kovach said.
Silver has a reputation for being “one of the most astute and thoughtful analysts in the world,” but his predictions often miss the mark.
“His predictions tend to be very inaccurate and that’s not necessarily the case,” Kovak said.