How to Predict 2020 Presidential Election Predictions

The 2020 presidential race is a close one, with the Democratic and Republican candidates currently locked in a statistical dead heat.

Here are some things you should know about it before voting starts in earnest in November.

* * * 1.

The 2020 Democratic race is still very much alive.

Hillary Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump has shrunk to just over 3 percentage points.

The latest poll from NBC News/Wall Street Journal shows Clinton ahead of Trump by a nearly 1-point margin, but it’s still too close to call at this point.

The two candidates are currently tied at 39% apiece.

2.

If the polls are accurate, it’s going to be a very close election.

A new poll released Wednesday by Quinnipiac University shows Clinton leading Trump by 6 percentage points, 46%-43%.

That’s a huge shift from the two-way race that had narrowed in recent weeks.

But the Quinnipics poll also found Clinton holding a slight lead over Trump among likely voters.

Clinton leads Trump by just 3 percentage point among registered voters, 45%-44%.

The Quinnipic poll shows Clinton up by 5 points among likely Republican voters, 48%-40%.

3.

Donald Trump continues to be the most unpopular candidate in the 2016 race.

His approval rating has dipped from 58% in June to 48% today.

His disapproval rating has also dropped from 56% in July to 49% today, the first time it’s been below 50%.

4.

The Democrats have a number of reasons for their success in the 2020 race.

The party has gained more control of statehouses across the country, and it is poised to win at least a handful of states, including Florida, Iowa, and Ohio.

The DNC has also done a great job organizing for 2020, with candidates getting paid big bucks to travel to key states, and with the party having more money to spend.

5.

The election cycle is not over yet.

Democrats have plenty of momentum heading into the 2020 presidential contest.

They are still polling well ahead of the GOP in several key battleground states, like Florida, North Carolina, Nevada, and Colorado, and they are on track to take control of the Senate in November and the House in 2018.

6.

There are still plenty of opportunities for the Democrats.

If Trump and Clinton win the presidency in 2020, they will almost certainly become the first two Republican presidents to win reelection.

The next president would be a Republican in every way, from the Supreme Court to Congress, but if Trump and the Republicans lose the White House, Democrats will likely be able to claim a victory at the ballot box for the first year of their new term.

** * * 7.

Donald J. Trump is not going anywhere.

This election season, the Republican nominee is still the only person on the planet with a chance of winning the presidency.

And, as of right now, Trump is on course to win the Republican nomination.

But his support has fallen from 50% in April to 39% now.

He has a clear path to victory, but he is not the only one who has lost ground.

Donald Johnson, the former Republican governor of New Mexico, is the only other candidate who has gained ground since April.

He’s currently at 43% approval rating, a jump from 30% approval last month.

He also has a strong showing among Democrats.

Johnson has led by 7 points among Democrats, 52%-41%.

Johnson’s approval rating is also at a record high, with 69% of Democrats saying they approve of him, up from 57% in March.

He is also on track for a landslide victory in November if he’s the GOP nominee.

8.

In addition to Trump and Johnson, there are a handful more Republicans who are struggling in the polls: Jeb Bush, who has fallen to 23% approval, and Marco Rubio, who’s seen a 5-point drop in popularity.

Rubio is the third Republican in the race to fall below 50% approval.

He currently holds just 37% approval among Republicans, a new low for a candidate who was in the top 10 nationally just four months ago.

9.

Trump has had a very difficult time finding common ground with Democrats on health care.

He opposes Obamacare, which is widely viewed as a disaster for the American health care system.

And while the president has repeatedly called for the repeal of Obamacare, he has also been willing to support the ACA and make deals to get it repealed.

But as of now, he’s not on the record calling for the Republican Party to repeal the law, and his lack of support for repealing the law has made it extremely difficult for the GOP to get anything done in the Senate.

Trump and other Republicans in Congress have struggled to pass any sort of healthcare legislation in the House, where they would need Democratic support to pass.

And they are currently stuck with a number very unpopular health care policies that would likely lead to more than $800 billion in costs over the next decade.

*A New York Times/CBS News poll released